Initially the Bayesian reasoning is a statistical theorem, but as it gained more popularity it became a way of thinking. ‘’All we have are guesses about reality.’’ This statement can sound disturbing but I find it enlightening. Our knowledge is not what’s true, it’s what stand to be the most correct theory with the evidence we collected at the time. This theory stays the main reference as long as the majority of evidences converge to the same conclusions. If we try to justify a knowledge as true, then we make it difficult to be refutable and renounce to make any progress in the future. That’s why, if someone is so convinced about the truthiness of their knowledge you must be suspicious. More generally speaking, I feel like the Bayesianism thinking can help us be more pragmatic and less ‘’conspirational’’. I’m very curious to know more about this topic and will try share more content about it in the future.
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Bayesianism
Initially the Bayesian reasoning is a statistical theorem, but as it gained more popularity it became a way of thinking. ‘’All we have are guesses about reality.’’ This statement can sound disturbing but I find it enlightening. Our knowledge is not what’s true, it’s what stand to be the most correct theory with the evidence we collected at the time. This theory stays the main reference as long as the majority of evidences converge to the same conclusions. If we try to justify a knowledge as true, then we make it difficult to be refutable and renounce to make any progress in the future. That’s why, if someone is so convinced about the truthiness of their knowledge you must be suspicious. More generally speaking, I feel like the Bayesianism thinking can help us be more pragmatic and less ‘’conspirational’’. I’m very curious to know more about this topic and will try share more content about it in the future.